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Articles from Contributor

Nobody knows anything about macroeconomics

Arnold Kling writes:

My daughter who is a freshman left a message that she wants me to explain macro to her. I can do that, in the sense that I can teach what is in her textbook. In reality, however, macro is a muddle that no one can explain. The undergraduate textbook, a graduate textbook, and macroeconomics as practiced by policymakers

New column: Don’t ditch GDP. Dance to it!

My new column is online here and in the issue of Time with Barack Obama’s mama on the cover. It begins:

On the last day of April, the folks at the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis will announce how much they think the U.S. economy grew–or didn’t–in the first quarter of this year. This “advance” estimate of gross

Minor publishing industry update

Okay, I know I’ve said this before and it has turned out to be profoundly untrue. But the book has to be done Monday, or there’ll be hell to pay. I’m on track to get it in on time, but I do have some polishing and perfecting (or, if you prefer, slashing and rewriting) still to do, so for the rest of the week posting will be even sparser …

Steven Pearlstein rocks, Pulitzer committee notices

I’ve actually been meaning for a few weeks to write a post about the vagaries of what in the MSM gets noticed in the blogosphere and what does not. Pretty much every half-baked column on the Washington Post op-ed page gets subjected to a full-on linkfest, I was going to write, while the almost invariably compelling work of columnist

Predicting the mortgage bust in September 2005

Who said this in September 2005?

The apparent froth in housing markets may have spilled over into mortgage markets. The dramatic increase in the prevalence of interest-only loans, as well as the introduction of other, more-exotic forms of adjustable-rate mortgages, are developments that bear close scrutiny. To be sure, these financing

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