KKR’s other comps

The WSJ’s article about Kohlberg Kravis Roberts’s latest plan to go public points out that with a market value between $12 billion and $15 billion, the buyout shop would be worth more that Lehman Brothers and half the size of Merrill Lynch. A few other numbers from KKR’s morning presentation caught my eye. With its [...]

Will the housing bill save America?

The Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 is headed for President Bush’s desk. He’s planning to sign it. Will it stop the housing crash in its tracks and avert recession? Probably not. Will it keep things from getting worse than they otherwise would? Probably. Is it full of lots of junk that won’t do [...]

Paul McCulley explains the paradox of deleveraging for you

It’s Bill Gross’s rambling pleas for action from Washington that get most of the attention. But I think PIMCO strategist and portfolio manager Paul McCulley is actually much better than his boss at laying out the case for government intervention. This is from his July commentary, which I just stumbled across: [T]he paradox of thrift [...]

A highly dubious top 10 list

But that’s not gonna stop me from posting it. From Brad DeLong: Here’s what NetNewsWire throws up as tops in attention in the “economics” category: * Mark Thoma’s Economist’s View http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/ * Alex Tabarrok and Tyler Cowen’s Marginal Revolution http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/ * Justin Fox’s Curious Capitalist http://time-blog.com/curious_capitalist/ * Barry Ritholtz’s The Big Picture http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/ * James [...]

This explains a lot

From the abstract of “An Economic Model of the Planning Fallacy,” (pdf!) by Markus Brunnermeier, Filippos Papakonstantinou, and Jonathan Parker: People tend to underestimate the work involved in completing tasks and consequently finish tasks later than expected or do an inordinate amount of work right before projects are due. We present a theory in which [...]

Forget the minimum wage. Check out the median (Part II)

Yesterday I made an argument for ignoring the debate around the minimum wage. I said the number we should really care about is the median wage of workers paid by the hour. That figure, for the 75.9 million Americans paid hourly rates, is $11.95. (The mean is higher—$14.25—but the Bureau of Labor Statistics thinks the [...]

On average, corporations aren’t so bad

In response to my post over on the Creative Capitalism blog about the vexing dilemma that: 1) Having multiple organizational goals can be a recipe for underperformance and waste, but 2) Focusing exclusively on a single, simple goal like profit maximization or shareholder value can lead an organization terribly astray. a commenter wrote: Okay, let’s [...]

Amazon: The last retailer standing

Two telling news reports today about retailers from metropolitan Seattle. First: NEW YORK (Reuters) – Costco Wholesale Corp warned on Wednesday that its quarterly profit would miss current Wall Street targets because of soaring energy costs and other inflationary pressures, sending shares of the No. 1 U.S. warehouse club operator down as much as 13.5 [...]

Might I suggest instead talking about the median wage?

Tomorrow the federal minimum wage goes up 70 cents to $6.55 an hour. Rather than join in either side of the outrage—the people who think $6.55 is still way low (including, ostensibly, the 23 states with higher floors) or the people who think the minimum wage is an unforgivable distortion of supply and demand that [...]

Paulson thinking of betting on the mortgage upside. But not quite yet

John Paulson, the hedge fund guy who made the spectacularly dead-on bet that the market for mortgage securities would go haywire last year (and took home a paycheck in the vicinity of $3.7 billion in the process), is planning a new fund that would invest in financial companies. The fund would “provide capital to financial [...]