I’m just back from a stroll over to the HarperCollins building, where I handed over almost 400 pages of marked-up Myth of the Rational Market manuscript (we’ve reached the stage in the process where I’m no longer allowed to alter anything electronically). This is all happening about four years after it was originally supposed to, but the …
Why the banks should be hoarding their TARP money
I’ve been bothered for a while by all the criticism of the banks for “hoarding” the $300+ billion we taxpayers have given them rather than lending it right back out again. But I haven’t been able to articulate the counterargument. Happily Jack “The Mortgage Professor” Guttentag has at least partially done it for me. An excerpt:
The
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Sharks rampage in Australia. Let’s bring in a statistician.
All day long the top story on Time.com has been this one about a spike in shark attacks in Australia. It starts:
Swimmers at Australian beaches are usually reassured by statistics that indicate they are more likely to be struck by lightning than chomped by a shark. But after three non-fatal shark attacks in the country in less than 48
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Rickey!
I’m off today frantically trying to meet a book-related deadline. But I could not let the glorious news that Rickey Henderson made it into the Hall of Fame on the first ballot go uncommemorated. I used to carry the man’s baseball card in my wallet when I was in high school. As a sort of good luck talisman, I guess. Or maybe to make me …
How to think about a trillion-dollar deficit
Here’s a link to a story I wrote about how our puny human brains aren’t particularly up to the task of comprehending big numbers—e.g., $700 billion bailout, $1.2 trillion deficit—and what we can do about it. The piece is designed to be accessible to a broad audience, so I stuck with back-of-the-envelope math that you don’t have to …
Citigroup and Dick Durbin rewrite bankruptcy law—but won’t the investors be mad?
Mortgage servicers (who in many cases are also the original lenders) have long been saying they can’t simply cut interest rates or reduce principal balances on loans to help people avoid foreclosure, because they’ll get sued by investors in mortgage-related securities. I find it interesting that this argument has been largely absent from …
Bob Rubin: He came in a genius and leaves, well, not so much of a genius anymore
This had been in the cards for a few months, but now it’s official: Bob Rubin is leaving Citigroup. He joined up in 1999 after a spectacularly successful stint as Treasury Secretary. His presence was supposed to smooth the troubled relationship between the two heads of the just-merged company, John Reed (Citi) and Sandy Weill …
Curious Capitalist TV
I’m usually reticent to publicize my television appearances, but since it was actually pretty entertaining (to participate in, at least) and I doubt many of you will just happen to be watching CSPAN2 tonight at 7 p.m. Eastern, here goes: Close up at the Newseum, with host Frank Bond, Michelle Singletary of the Washington Post, me, and …
New column: Clawback to the future
My latest column is online and in the issue of TIME with half a Star of David and some barbed wire on the cover. It begins.
We are in the midst of a cleanup of toxic financial waste that will cost taxpayers hundreds of billions of dollars, at the very least. The primary manufacturers of these hazardous products pocketed
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Some things you should know about those unemployment numbers
The Bureau of Labor Statistics issued its monthly Employment Situation report this morning, and you’ve surely already seen the headlines about 524,000 in job losses and a 7.2% employment rate. But I thought it would be helpful to go through the basics, as in times like these lots of people who normally ignore the employment report are …
Self-promotion alert: price-rent ratios edition
A reader has asked me to link to this article about what price-rent ratios are telling us about the state of the housing market. Price-rent ratio is basically the price of a house divided by the cost of renting an apartment—a measure of whether houses are more expensive than they should be. Here’s a taste:
At first pass, the data
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The banks change their tune on mortgage cramdowns. It’s about time
In what strikes me as a pretty major change of heart, Citigroup has signed on to Illinois Democrat Dick Durbin’s effort to give bankruptcy judges the power to rewrite the terms of mortgages. Reports the WSJ:
The cramdown bill would apply to all mortgage loans, including but not limited to subprime loans, written any time prior to the
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