Could China Be the Next Greece?

Siu Chiu / Reuters
Local workers holding banners march on the street during a May Day protest against migrant workers from mainland China and other countries, as well as government corruption, during Labour Day in Macau May 1, 2011. REUTERS/Tyrone Siu (CHINA - Tags: POLITICS EMPLOYMENT BUSINESS CIVIL UNREST)

There’s a lot of finger wagging going on in the world about America’s profligate ways. And a lot of comparisons between the budget troubles of the U.S. and the horrors facing Greece. The West, the story goes, stupidly spent  beyond its means while emerging markets wisely saved their pennies for rainy days like these. But the West isn’t the only part of the world grappling with fiscal troubles. Growth darling China has its own debt problems, and some analysts think those could wreak far more havoc on the global economy than what’s going on Greece.

The Chinese government, which just produced its first national audit of local finances, announced this week that local governments could owe as much as 30% of China’s GDP. That’s a good deal more than the government’s official debt load of less than 20% of GDP. And some analysts are putting China’s real debt levels at three to four times those levels.
(Read: Dear Greece, Why Not Just Default?)