New article: The end of spend (?)

My newest dead-tree effort is in the issue with Barack Obama on the cover and online here. It begins:

It’s the day after Thanksgiving at Aventura Mall, north of Miami, and David Weinberg is worrying about the economy. “People are underestimating the downturn in the housing market in Florida and are spending based on home equity,” says

Economist Robert Hall sees “dark clouds,” but don’t go expecting him to declare a recession anytime soon

With all the recent talk of a looming recession, I figured I ought to check in with Stanford economist Robert Hall, chairman of the Business-Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research, the semi-official arbiter of when recessions start and end. I e-mailed:

When everybody starts talking recession, as is this case

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