Why Obama is right about the American economy

Living out here in Asia, it’s only too easy to see how quickly the East is catching up to, and in some cases, even surpassing the United States. The airport in Beijing is more efficient than JFK. I get dropped from mobile phone calls more readily in New Jersey than in Jakarta. Students in Seoul walk home with backpacks of books at 10pm, not 3pm. Asia is fully aware it needs to compete with America; sometimes I’m not sure that America realizes it has to compete with Asia. There’s too much national babble about airport screening and Jersey Shore and not enough about what the country must do to thrive in a world with a rising China and India.

That’s why President Barack Obama’s State of the Union address was so important. The speech was a call for a refocusing of national priorities, to get policy, money and energy directed at what is needed to compete in the future. Such an effort is long overdue, since China and India won’t sit back and wait for Americans to wake up to the new realities of the world economy. We can perhaps quibble with his choice of policy to support his goals, but not the goals themselves. As Obama outlined them:

At stake is whether new jobs and industries take root in this country, or somewhere else.  It’s whether the hard work and industry of our people is rewarded.  It’s whether we sustain the leadership that has made America not just a place on a map, but the light to the world….We know what it takes to compete for the jobs and industries of our time.  We need to out-innovate, out-educate, and out-build the rest of the world.  We have to make America the best place on Earth to do business…That’s how our people will prosper.

Obama is absolutely correct that the only way the U.S. is going to create jobs is by staying one step ahead of the emerging world, not competing directly with it, or, even worse, falling behind it. There is no way the U.S. can contend with China or India with an education system that is in relative decline. There is no way jobs can be created in the U.S. in a globalized world economy if Americans aren’t smarter and better qualified than lower-cost Chinese or Indian workers. Let’s be honest. If you’re an American worker, and you’re competing for the same factory job as a poorly educated farm girl from the Chinese hinterland, you’re in trouble. She’ll do the same work for a fraction of the cost. That’s why all of those low-end factory jobs have shipped off to China. The only solution is to increase the skill and education level of the American workforce, so they can be more creative, more productive, and therefore more competitive than Chinese or Indian workers, and deserving of higher salaries. As Obama said:

Maintaining our leadership in research and technology is crucial to America’s success.  But if we want to win the future -– if we want innovation to produce jobs in America and not overseas -– then we also have to win the race to educate our kids… Over the next 10 years, nearly half of all new jobs will require education that goes beyond a high school education.  And yet, as many as a quarter of our students aren’t even finishing high school.  The quality of our math and science education lags behind many other nations… And so the question is whether all of us –- as citizens, and as parents –- are willing to do what’s necessary to give every child a chance to succeed.

The issue is exactly the same in regard to infrastructure. Just as the education system is under strain, the rail, road, phone and Internet networks are simply not up to the new challenges of the new economy. The U.S. can’t keep its companies competitive, or attract investment from overseas, without an infrastructure upgrade that matches what’s happening in China and elsewhere. As Obama said:

To attract new businesses to our shores, we need the fastest, most reliable ways to move people, goods, and information — from high-speed rail to high-speed Internet. Our infrastructure used to be the best, but our lead has slipped.  South Korean homes now have greater Internet access than we do.  Countries in Europe and Russia invest more in their roads and railways than we do.  China is building faster trains and newer airports.  Meanwhile, when our own engineers graded our nation’s infrastructure, they gave us a “D.” We have to do better.

Thankfully, Obama was also honest about the fact that protectionism won’t help Americans compete. The rest of the world is rapidly integrating, especially in Asia, where countries have signed a ton of free-trade agreements (FTAs). Due to the anti-trade sentiment in Washington, however, the U.S. runs the risk of getting shut out, and that’s a serious danger for America’s future growth. New prosperity and jobs won’t come from shielding industries and workers that can’t compete with rivals from abroad. Instead, they will come from capitalizing on new sources of growth abroad. Good for Obama, then, for championing free trade and FTAs:

To help businesses sell more products abroad, we set a goal of doubling our exports by 2014 -– because the more we export, the more jobs we create here at home. ..Last month, we finalized a trade agreement with South Korea that will support at least 70,000 American jobs.  This agreement has unprecedented support from business and labor, Democrats and Republicans — and I ask this Congress to pass it as soon as possible.

The one area where Obama ran into a bit of trouble concerned how the government should support American competitiveness. I’m no fan of industrial policy – which, by studying Asia’s long experience with such programs, shows they create as many problems as benefits. The idea that the government can support the development of green energy or cutting-edge industries through direct financing or subsidies is not terribly convincing. However, let’s face it, Uncle Sam is already in the business of influencing business. Tax policies, regulation and outright government grants sway how and where money gets invested. Those policies might as well be restructured to create the right incentives to support the right goals. Thus Obama was spot on in regard to tax breaks and education:

To compete, higher education must be within the reach of every American.  That’s why we’ve ended the unwarranted taxpayer subsidies that went to banks, and used the savings to make college affordable for millions of students.  And this year, I ask Congress to go further, and make permanent our tuition tax credit –- worth $10,000 for four years of college.  It’s the right thing to do.

And the development of new energy technologies:

We need to get behind this innovation.  And to help pay for it, I’m asking Congress to eliminate the billions in taxpayer dollars we currently give to oil companies.  I don’t know if — I don’t know if you’ve noticed, but they’re doing just fine on their own. So instead of subsidizing yesterday’s energy, let’s invest in tomorrow’s.

But perhaps the single most crucial aspect of Obama’s address was its spirit. I hear far too often from Americans that they feel the nation can’t compete with China. It’s a despondency and hopelessness that is not only dangerous, but also unfounded. Fortunately, the U.S. President has some fight left in him. Obama told America to stop wallowing in self-pity and get to work forging the economy of the future:

The world has changed.  The competition for jobs is real.  But this shouldn’t discourage us.  It should challenge us…The future is ours to win.  But to get there, we can’t just stand still.  As Robert Kennedy told us, “The future is not a gift.  It is an achievement.”  Sustaining the American Dream has never been about standing pat.  It has required each generation to sacrifice, and struggle, and meet the demands of a new age.  And now it’s our turn.

Amen.

Related Topics: Economy & Policy
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  • http://rodgermmitchell.wordpress.com Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

    The debt hawk will kill this dream. Their misguided worries about the federal “deficit” (which is nothing more than a measure of the money created by the federal government) destroys the very progress you discuss.

    And why do the debt hawks do it? Ignorance and hubris. Ignorance of economics. Ignorance of Monetary Sovereignty. Ignorance of the harm their ignorance does.

    And so we inch along, while Asia roars ahead — all due to debt hawk ignorance and the hubris that makes them refuse to learn.

    Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

  • pneogy

    “There’s too much national babble about airport screening and Jersey Shore and not enough about what the country must do to thrive in a world with a rising China and India.”

    Paranoia has always been a driving force behind our past achievements. Let’s hope we catch it again soon.

  • Mekhong Kurt

    As a retired university tacher from a family with several teachers, past and present, I’m particularly interested in the role of education in making our country competitive.

    One aspect has been missed by everyone, as far as I know anyway, including the President in his SOTU speech.

    Just about everyone, of every political stripe, claims to support education. However, the focus is mostly on younger Americans, despite some nods towards “re-training workers.”

    Let’s look at this a little closer.

    Urging a kid entering highschool to embark on an educational path leading to better chances of landing a job later, whether after graduating from highschool or later on, after finishing some post-secondary education, is fine, appropriate, and commendable.

    But details are scant to nonexistent about how we go about retraining *existing* workers, particularly older ones, those past 35-40 or so. It may not be practical for a person at that stage of his or her life to go to school full-time, whether at some specialized school (such as a trade school), a community college, an undergraduate-only college, or a full-blown university. This is particularly true of those with dependents.

    Internet instruction is flourishing, and is one part of the equation, a major part. However, it can’t be the sole answer. For one thing, not everyone thrives well in that environment, people who may do just fine in a more traditional setting. What can we do for them? (Here I merely wish to fuel some thought, not necessarily suggest any possible answers.)

    Further, older workers may resist even the idea of having to go back to school, however the education is packaged and delivered. Some people with whom I’ve spoken have said they’re not against the basic idea — but they feel that for them to go back to school implies they are failures. In their minds, that sense is very real. I’m talking about people who in some cases have excellent reputations ranging far and wide in their fields, but who have worked in jobs that are morphing into something for which they were never prepared. For instance, I know a person in the oil industry, a directional driller, who enjoys a world-class reputation. He has told me point-blank that if his choices are to return to the classroom or to accept forced retirement, he’ll take the latter, because he “can’t stand the shame of found wanting.” (I’ve been unable to persuade him that’s utter nonsense.)

    We need to find ways to help these people “reset” themselves — but in a way that allows them to hold their heads high.

    Any ideas?

  • curiousamerican

    I am certainly no expert. I only know what I myself see and experience as an American living though these difficult times. However, after listening to the President’s speech and reading this article by Michael Schuman I am convinced America is a big beautiful Ship with a rich history of leading the world and supporting it’s neighbors and friends for decades, however, it now has serious leaks that need fixing if it is going to continue to sail the seas as a leader of the world’s economy and it’s own people. all the changes suggested by the President and detailed in the article are desperately needed. The only question is, how do you accomplish all this quickly and at the same time keep the budget and deficit in check?
    The tea party people do have a point, the Republicans have their special interests that don’t want to rock the boat, think everything is just fine. We can’t accomplish it all, can they work together to agree, compromise and turn this Country of ours around and in the right direction for the future?

  • rothmanp
  • http://stephenpoo.wordpress.com stephenpoo

    If you build it they will come
    They recommend an educated work force but educated trained in what?
    Unfortunately the Far East produces many well educated people that can do anything we could do here and cheaper.
    I don’t think even if we eliminated all Corporate taxes would we even the playing field. It might still make dollars and sence to ship the jobs overseas.
    So what is the plan, I like someone like the President with a can do attitude but show me please.
    Put out the game plan if were going to study for something what is it we are supposed to study?
    What does the road map look like?

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