What happens if more people want to rent?

This morning I was on the Brian Lehrer show talking about the Obama Administration’s conference on the future of housing finance. You can listen to the interview here.

One thing that came up during the interview was this concept of renting. Strange as it may seem, renting is a key part of the housing market. Indeed, tens of millions of American families rent. And as the homeownership rate drops each quarter, chatter is growing louder about how renting might be a decent option—not just a fall-back plan—for plenty of people. (This vision of a renting renaissance often goes hand-in-hand with an important demographic shift; aging Baby Boomers are less likely to want to live in 4-bedroom houses with quarter-acre lawns to mow.)

There’s just one big problem: the reality of our built environment.

According to government data, 89% of single-family detached houses are owner-occupied. Meanwhile, 83% of apartments are rented. There is a certain logic to this. An apartment building provides an economy of scale for a landlord that a suburban housing development doesn’t.

But what that means is, if we as a nation start saying that renting is a fine and legitimate choice—which, incidentally, would be the first time we did so since Herbert Hoover became Commerce Secretary in 1921—then we’d also implicitly be saying that more people are going to live in apartments.

Would America be okay with that? I’m not really sure. I was talking about this the other day with Harvard economist Ed Glaeser, and he said that town houses provide the best shot at renting catching on as a fashionable choice. You aren’t locked into a huge mortgage or floor plan, but you still get a little green space out back and a place to park your car. About half of attached single-family dwellings are rentals.

But there’s another problem Glaeser brought up: local land-use regulations. He pointed to this paper which finds that 18% of the municipalities within 50 miles of Boston don’t allow any multi-family housing to be built. Another 44% allow such construction on less than 10% of available land. In other words, the choice to rent not only implies living in an apartment, but it also heavily restricts what neighborhoods are available to you. At least in eastern Massachusetts.  Although it’s hard to believe that’s the only place you find NIMBYs.

The overarching point is that a lot comes along with the transition from owning to renting. It doesn’t necessarily make sense that so much should depend on whether you send a check each month to a bank or to a landlord. We need to keep in mind, though, that much in fact does.

Related Topics: Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, housing finance, Obama Administration, Timothy Geithner, Economy & Policy
  • Latest on Business

    Shannon Stapleton / Reuters

    Facebook, Wall Street Banks Sued Over Pre-IPO Financial Forecasts

    Just days after its controversial IPO, Facebook and its Wall Street bankers have been hit by shareholder lawsuits alleging that the social networking giant and its underwriters concealed the company’s decelerating revenue growth from investors. The lawsuits come amid a growing furor about whether Facebook’s banks selectively disclosed information that gave favored clients an unfair advantage over other investors. Top U.S. regulators have begun examining the IPO, and now the U.S. Senate Banking Committee and other lawmakers want answers from Facebook about issues raised in the offering’s aftermath, according to The Hill newspaper.

    Why Greece Isn't Leaving the Eurozone YetSlate

    Associated Press

    Small Dairies Go Under as Milk Prices Sink Again

    PLAINFIELD, Vt. — The MacLaren brothers are third-generation dairy farmers, but they will likely be the last in their family.

    After working all their lives on the hillside farm in Vermont that their grandfather bought in 1939, rising to milk cows at 3 a.m., even in blizzards and sub-zero temperatures, they decided to call it quits, auctioning off their roughly 200 cows and equipment ranging from stalls and hoof trimmers to tractors and steel pails.

  • http://pacificgatepost.blogspot.com/ pacificgatepost

    There is a great shift away from “buying,” away from “massive debt,” and toward Renting. The trend will continue for a decade.

    Americans cannot afford to carry their current debt load, at the same time as they suffer increases in taxes.

  • http://stephenpoo.wordpress.com stephenpoo

    I listened and you came across very well, maybe in future in broadcasting?
    Having spent half my childhood in apartments, I can’t say its as good as a owned home where you can enjoy more freedoms and flexibility. Not having that I felt more transiant. When my parents were senoirs they purchased a home. I think it was a good feeling for them and all of us grow kids it was a time to celebrate as some security and accomplishment.You may have unpleasent neibors still but no unpleasent land lord you must comply with.
    For the construction industry there is small differance in single homes and multi family units it’s all welcome work.
    One other thing that needs to change banks and finace companies seem to look down on you if you don’t own.

  • Barbara Kiviat

    Thanks for the compliment! And the insight.

  • rc471

    There are lots of impediments to having more renters. Here’s an example: FHA loan rules require townhouse/condo associations to have a relatively high percentage of owner-occupancy. So, if people want to buy units to rent out, they eventually lose the ability to get FHA financing for *any* buyers of units in the association. And so a lot of HOAs are now restricting the ability of owners to rent out their units. This is for existing units, not new construction. We are currently going through this at our HOA, where the owners who live there are complaining about too many landlords and the associated inability to sell to FHA-financed buyers.

  • bryanfromhouston

    Barb,
    .
    It’s for you to write a book sweetie. You’ve got the knowledge…just need to put it in long form.
    .
    Goodluck. What will be your title? Rethinking the American Dream???

  • http://witofman.wordpress.com witofman

    Renting catching on as “fashionable” is a result of necessity, not choice, and just another sign of downward mobility. What with global warming and its consequent “natuaral disasters” pummeling the planet, clearly it’s all downhill from here on out, baby!

  • pouyaz123

    eventually they will have to build more apartments, which is good thing. vertical cities are more efficient than wide and short suburban ones. They also look better. Dubai, hong Kong,Singapore, … are better cities than ugly Los Angeles.

  • deconstructiva

    Barbara, thanks for the interview + recent housing posts, great job on interview with clear insights (alas, my replying at 2am-ish is being late to the prom again). Our situations vary, but how much do you see housing types – detached homes, townhomes, condos, co-ops, etc. – affecting buying vs. renting? And how much do current housing woes change our view of home ownership: can’t move as easily to find jobs, etc.? Of course, the housing crash brought on the recession that trashed the job market, which affected selling homes to find scarce jobs, etc., but I digress.
    .
    I also echo bryan’s idea of YOU writing a book based on your excellent work here: creating jobs, housing woes, etc. Will you autograph copies for blog readers and get colleagues like Jay N-S and Kate Pickert to write books too? Thanks for your thoughts, Barbara.

  • gum0nshoe

    But is moving to that situation good for our society?

    I just dumped a whole lot of money into an education that, thanks to the economy, turned out to be relatively useless.

    I rent now out of necessity, not because I enjoy renting.

    There are a few upsides and a few downsides to the whole thing.

    As I see it, the upsides include mobility (not having to worry about selling when I need to move), maintenance generally isn’t my problem, still having a place to sleep, no pressure of the debt burden that is followed by repossession.

    But, long term, I’m dumping cash into a system where I get nothing back aside from the immediate return of a place to sleep and live. It seems to me that if one doesn’t ultimately own land as property, then at the end of it all you’re left with nothing or you’ve had to figure in the costs of rent and saved (which you can’t do in our current environment).

    I’m more concerned with how that would redirect the flow of money. I suppose in someways that money going into the hands of a land lord would be better than it going into the hands of banks, but to the contrary a lot of complexes now are owned by corporations that specialize in renting. I can see to well what abuses that would lead to. We’re already addicted to gas, I’d rather not have housing become the same sort of thing where you are forced to pay a set amount of money that can be upped by an entity you have no bargaining position with.

  • lulatodd

    My husband and I separated a couple of years ago, sold our house, and now I rent a small house. I doubt that I’ll ever buy again. I love picking up the phone and callling my landladies when something goes wrong. There’s too much stuff that I can’t do myself, and besides I no longer want the responsibility of owning.

  • quantumplanner

    I have been both an owner and renter and what I have learned is that taking a closer look at the financial wisdom of renting versus owning should be done. In many cases once the property taxes and maintenance costs are added in renting can be a better choice even with the interest deductions. Pouring money into a house as an investment in light of recent trends (houses way under water) may not be wise.

    I currently rent and feel greatly relieved after loosing a home in foreclosure that was a money dump in terms of maintenance and repair. I live a much less stressful life as a renter in a well-maintained apartment in the lovely hills of Oakland, CA.

  • http://ligtlesteven.wordpress.com ligtlesteven

    “Although we can’t blame the rich for being rich, but the concentration of wealth in the hands of a rich minority is the underlying cause of all our economic problems”
    If sb had enough money, who will rent??

  • azmaveth

    There’s no intrinsic reason why rental property can’t be maintained as well as any owner-occupied residence. It’s just impractical to apply laws and regulations mandating proper maintenance on absentee landlords. It’s hard to notify landlords of inadequate maintenance, much less gain enough leverage to force them to perform repairs. Even seizing poorly-maintained property inflicts collateral damage on the renters, so there’s a paucity of available enforcement mechanisms.

    The private market addresses renters’ negligent or abusive occupancy by requiring a deposit up front. States handle careless drivers by forcing all drivers to carry liability insurance. Perhaps government could similarly manage maintenance of rental property by requiring landlords to secure home maintenance insurance against which municipal governments and HOAs could file claims for maintenance performed to remedy a landlord’s negligence.

  • bryanfred

    Renting SHOULD

  • bryanfred

    Okay, not sure what happened there…anyway:

    Renting SHOULD be the default position until you are certain you can afford to comfortably service a mortgage. Renting = flexibility. There’s a reason most business lease at least a portion of their facilities, equipment, vehicles, etc.

    Somewhere along the line we decided that homeownership was a goal unto itself, regardless of financial condition, rather than a symptom of financial stability.

  • Barbara Kiviat

    You raise a very good point. And I certainly hope that in the long-term your education pays off. In the meantime, hang in there. I know people in your position—it’s still brutal out there.

  • Barbara Kiviat

    Interesting ideas.

  • libsarescary

    Maybe we are just going back to the way things used to be years ago. You rent until you are stable enough to buy a place. Job futures are uncertain, so the smart money is to rent and keep your options open. As rentals become harder to find, due to the increased demand, rates will rise to the point where buying a place is economical and worth the risk. Right now, if you buy a place, in many US cities, odds are you are going to lose money from day one (like a boat). The market is in a freefall right now and the smart money is on waiting things out.

blog comments powered by Disqus