Does more immigration mean less crime?

Brace yourself for the backlash. University of Colorado sociologist Tim Wadsworth has a study out in Social Science Quarterly suggesting that more immigration leads to less crime. During the 1990s, the incidence of serious crime dropped in many places in the U.S.—but fastest in the cities with the largest increase in immigrants. That conclusion comes from studying demographic data from the Census for cities with more than 50,000 residents and information from the FBI about instances of homicide and robbery.

From the WSJ:

“The cities that experience[d] the greatest growth in immigration were the same one[s] that were experiencing the greatest declines in violent crime,” [Wadsworth] said. “While I don’t think I or anyone else will argue that immigration can explain the bulk of the crime drop, it seems like this is an important piece of the puzzle.”

The story continues:

[Wadsworth] offers a number of theories to explain this finding: immigrants often live in homogeneous enclaves within cities, which offer a degree of social cohesion that may produce lower crime rates; there may be a selection effect, where those driven to immigrate or (selected by their families to seek work in the U.S.) are the fittest and least likely to turn to crime.

And from a story in the University of Colorado’s Arts and Sciences magazine:

Some have suggested that immigrant communities are often characterized by extended family networks, lower levels of divorce, and cultural and religious beliefs that facilitate community integration. Wadsworth notes that “criminologists have long known that these factors provide buffers against crime.”

Wadsworth is hardly the first one to make the claim that immigration, at least as experienced in recent American history, drives down crime rates. Harvard sociologist Robert Sampson has looked at the issue extensively. You can read a great summary of his thinking here (PDF).

So now just one question. Who’s going to tell Arizona?

Related Topics: immigration, Economy & Policy
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  • phoneranger

    Correlation is not causation. I know there are Bosnians in Utica but really how many immigrants are going to move to cities with minimal economic growth, a declining tax base and a broken social contract like East St. Louis, Gary or Johnstown? The exception might be some smaller meth towns where a large employer (like a meatpacker) attracts immigrants even though the broader economy is dead. Immigrants aren’t stupid. They go where the jobs are and where crime isn’t.

  • Ffred

    I once lived in a small town in Wisconsin, and what I saw was that people leaving the cities for new bedroom communities in the country brought crime with them. We hardly ever had any crime until the subdivisions started replacing corn fields and dairy farms. So in that case maybe migration doesn’t raise or lower crime but spreads it out with the population.

  • http://rodgermmitchell.wordpress.com Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

    The law has nothing to do with crime. Arizona Governor Jan Brewer and State Senator Russell Pearce use crime as an excuse. It puts a legal face on what otherwise would be lynching, burning crosses and painting swastikas.

    That law was passed to appease the xenophobic, bigoted right wing.

    Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

  • Ffred

    “That law was passed to appease the xenophobic, bigoted right wing. ”

    Amen to that. I live in AZ now and it’s like being in a looney bin. The state legislature is an incredible copper-top romper room. Current issues aside, I bet Napolitano breathed a great sigh of relief to get away from it.

  • http://24ahead.com/ kattest123

    Can you trust Barbara Kiviat? Let’s see:
    .
    1. Barbara Kiviat confuses (or tries to confuse you) over the difference between the *number of crimes* and the *crime rate*. If you have 1000 crimes per year in a city, and the population of that city doubles but the number of crimes becomes 1500 per year, the *crime rate* will have fallen while the *number of crimes* has risen (and the *number of victims* has risen).
    .
    2. There’s no need to tell AZ anything: they know the situation. That’s why the law has such wide support. They know that PHX is the #2 kidnapping capital in the world (behind MX City). No doubt many of them are worried about things that are even more pernicious than low-level crime, such as public officials being corrupted. Notably, Barbara Kiviat isn’t concerned about that.
    .
    3. Some forms of crime are rarely prosecuted; find me all the identity theft cases brought against illegal aliens.
    .
    4. Does the “sociologist” look into the cultural impacts of widespread illegality by illegal aliens (crossing/overstaying, id theft, etc.)? Let me know!
    .
    5. AFAIK, the study doesn’t look at the impact of the second and third generation. Illegal aliens might avoid some forms of crime that their children and grandchildren are more than willing to engage in.
    .
    If you still trust Barbara Kiviat’s reporting, let me know.

  • jomiku

    After reading an LA Times story that crime was down along the border in cities like San Diego, I spent a half hour looking at crime stats from actual police departments. They show very clearly that crime is down. The peak was indeed in the 1990′s.

    To be specific, I looked at official stats for Phoenix, Tucson and Mesa (city and county) and found that crime has been going down year to year. I found the same thing when I looked at El Paso and Laredo, TX. El Paso reports monthly and crime is down in 4 of 5 police commands from 2009.

    Mesa police report that crime is now BELOW 1963 levels. Tucson reports that crime is BELOW 1980 levels.

    The lesson: racist hysteria driven by a few anecdotes but completely unjustified by fact. Second lesson: politicians like John McCain don’t have the moral courage to stand up and tell the truth about how crime has been going down.

    I also looked at crime in California generally and in particular the composition of the prison population. It was simple to see that Latinos are in prison in rough proportion to their percentage of the population. The only group that is in prison out of scale with their numbers is African-Americans.

  • deconstructiva

    Kattest, still posting your right wing nonsense without links to verify your “points” again? There’s your attention-seeking reply; bon appetit and enjoy.
    .
    Barbara, this dude infests the swamp often as part of the Right Wing Groundhog Day phenomenon – repeating same crap over and over daily. If such RW’s are part of the reason Kate Pickert rarely replies to the commentariat anymore sorry to hear this, but not everyone there (or here) is that way.

  • Barbara Kiviat
  • http://24ahead.com/ kattest123

    jomiku: No doubt those who profit from illegal activity would thank you for your efforts, if only they weren’t busy at the bank.
    .
    Likewise with Barbara Kiviat, who has not only not corrected her false statements but has doubled down: linking to an article that conflates legal and illegal immigrants and that doesn’t reveal that the chiefs in question all happen to belong to a left-wing group for police chiefs.
    .
    Once again: can you trust what Barbara Kiviat tells you?

  • http://24ahead.com/ kattest123

    deconstructiva: stop wasting everyone’s time with content-free comments.
    .
    None of my comment needs backup: they’re questions, or they’re based on simple math, or they’re easily observed facts: Kiviat is misleading about the study.
    .
    However, here’s a link just for you: click here to read thousands of posts about the immigration issue.
    .
    And, next time, try not to waste everyone’s time with garbage comments.

  • http://24ahead.com/ kattest123

    Just so those searching in Google can find it easier, I posted my comment in a post called Barbara Kiviat of Time misleads about immigration and crime.
    .
    I’ll post about Christopher Dickey’s article later tonight or tomorrow. Enjoy!

  • danallen2

    This is in response to phoneranger. Immigrant communities are settled in poor towns as part of the immigration process. So many immigrants these days are refugees, and as part of that process, they are given a year’s worth of subsidy for food and housing. This allows them to establish roots in communities and to have strong support from immigrants who have left their country prior to that.

    So, there is an actual policy to relocate immigrants in poor American cities, and for the most part, the immigrants stay there. You mentioned Utica, but all over the rust belt you have people from very warm climates, such as Africa or SE Asia, being relocated.

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