A homework assignment for U.S.-breakup prognosticator Igor Panarin: Read your Joel Garreau

Russian spy/academic/goofball Igor Panarin’s prediction that the U.S. will break up into six parts in 2010, reported in the WSJ today, sounds like it might be kind of fun—finally, all Americans will be forced to get passports, and smug Europeans will stop making fun of us for the lack of them! And I’m certainly not [...]

With you on the financial crisis, but maybe not on the disorderly fashion

In a post earlier today, Justin ruminated about how financial crisis might be just what the economy needs from time to time to keep everybody’s appetite for risk in check. Quoting Justin, paraphrasing Tyler Cowen: “If the Federal Reserve had just let the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management fail in 1998—preferably in a messy and [...]

Is there really a credit crisis, and can bankruptcy stem the foreclosure flood?

Barbara and I wrote a couple of pieces for TIME.com that ran last week when we weren’t paying attention. In case you weren’t paying attention either, here they are: Is There Really a Credit Crunch? by Barbara, which begins: Back in September, V.V. Chari, an economist at the University of Minnesota and an adviser to [...]

Tyler Cowen, Paul Krugman, and the right time to have a financial crisis

Tyler Cowen makes the case in Sunday’s New York Times that if the Federal Reserve had just let the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management fail in 1998—preferably in a messy and disorderly fashion—we’d be much better off today: With the Long-Term Capital bailout as a precedent, creditors came to believe that their loans to unsound [...]