So is uncertainty a reason to freak out or an opportunity?

The future seems especially uncertain at the moment. There are those who would object that the future is always uncertain, and that it is when we think we’ve captured it in our forecasting models that we’ve invariably gotten things terribly wrong. But still, it is possible most of the time to be reasonably confident that [...]

New article: Why Obama can’t wait

There’s an article with my name on it in the new issue of TIME (with Michelle Rhee on the cover). My involvement with it was extremely limited–Massimo Calabresi and Michael Duffy in the Washington bureau did almost all the work–but it seemed rude to ask to have my byline removed. Plus, it’s a perfectly good [...]