Best fiscal stimulus plan ever: Cash for clunkers

My column in the soon-to-be-on-newsstands TIME, which isn’t online yet, is about fiscal stimulus. So is Joe Klein’s column, which is online. It’s stimulus week!

Anyway, one stimulus idea that I didn’t get to, but really like, was one proposed by Alan Blinder last summer, Cash for Clunkers. Wrote Blinder:

Cash for Clunkers is a generic name for a variety of programs under which the government buys up some of the oldest, most polluting vehicles and scraps them. If done successfully, it holds the promise of performing a remarkable public policy trifecta — stimulating the economy, improving the environment and reducing income inequality all at the same time.

There are already similar programs operating on a small scale at the state and local level. Blinder’s idea is to put a few billion federal dollars behind the effort. To get two million clunkers off the roads would cost about $8 billion, including administration costs, he estimates. Removing five million cars would cost $20 billion.

The government would post buying prices, perhaps set at a 20 percent premium over something like Kelley Blue Book prices, for cars and trucks above a certain age (say, 15 years) and below a certain maximum value (perhaps $5,000). A special premium might even be offered for the worst gas guzzlers and the worst polluters. An income ceiling for sellers might also be imposed — say, family income below $60,000 a year — to make sure the money goes to lower-income households.

Blinder says that since he started pushing the plan, he’s heard from several members of Congress who were interested. I’m thinking it should really be part of this month’s stimulus discussion on Capitol Hill. Am I missing something, or is this the total no-brainer it appears to be?

Related Topics: Economy & Policy
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  • Ffred

    I’d say let’s combine that carrot with a national emissions standard stick.

  • That Anonymous Dude

    Does seem like a good idea, of course about a month after passage, paulson will reveall that the strategy has been changed to stimulate GM more directly by buying hummers for everyone from GM.

  • curmudgeon57

    It seems to me that those who drive the oldest vehicles do so in large part because they can’t afford a newer one. Even at a 20 percent premium to a pretty minimal blue book number, I don’t think that changes their financial equation. The car is worth more to them than the money.

  • Carlos the Dwarf

    The problem with this is that it is yet another program were the people who did the smart thing get no reward. I make (way) less than 60k a year and have a 15 year old toyota that gets good gas milage and i get bupkis while the guy making 50k down the street with his 15 year old blazer that sits in his driveway gets to unload it at 20% ABOVE market value?
    Yes i agree with the goal of getting the polluters and clunkers off the road but nothing about this plan encourages people to make good decisions in the long run. Yet again the government says, “Don’t worry if you make a bad decision, we’ll take care of it for you.” Bad mortgage, bad securities, bad car, whatever! Big Daddy (cuz Big Brother doesn’t share)will take care of you.

  • Sean DeCoursey forgot his password

    This strikes me as one of those good in theory ideas that needs to be checked out with some social psychologists or the freakonomics guys before implementation.
    -
    I’m just guessing here, but I think this could have a lot of unintended consequences, like pulling all sorts of stuff out of junkyards with minimal fix-up to be sold. I don’t think there would be any random secondary markets cropping up because it would make more sense for most sellers to just get the cash from the government rather than cutting their profits with a middleman. But this definitely strikes me as ripe with “good idea gone horribly wrong” potential depending on the implementation methods.
    -
    This would also theoretically drive up the price of 10-14 year old vehicles as everyone who cashed in on the program would look to replace their current vehicle as cheaply as possible.

  • Barbara Kiviat

    Thank you, Sean DeCoursey forgot his password–for showing us how to put paragraphs breaks into our comments. You have made my day.

  • Ffred

    Sean – good point about pulling stuff out of junkyards. A very similar thing happened in Arizona when a law was passed paying a huge bonus for converting vehicles to alternative fuel. People in droves bought huge SUVs, added a spare propane tank (never used), and emptied the state treasury.

  • bryanfromhouston

    This works only if you limit the transactions to significantly more efficient cars. In that vein, the public receives the benefit of cleaner air and reduced gas consumption. It still isn’t the best deal, but it provides folks with an incentive to clean up.
    -
    For the guy above with the 15 year old car that is still running and gets great mileage while running clean, you are not forced to buy a new car and it will still cost a good chunk of change as most state programs require new cars and are typically from manufacturers in the state.

  • Justin Fox

    Okay, okay, y’all have convinced me. Maybe it’s not the best fiscal stimulus ever. But it is an interesting idea.

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