That wasn’t so hard after all

When Hank Paulson and Ben Bernanke testified before Congress a few weeks ago, they got asked about regulating credit default swaps—insurance contracts tied to bonds that have taken on a potentially dangerous life all their own. The response was basically: It’s really important to sort these things out, but also really complicated, and we’re trying [...]

It’s not about the deposits, it’s about the unsecured loans

Governments around the world have been acting to avert panics by retail bank customers, and they’ve mostly succeeded. That’s a good thing, but it’s also sort of beside the point. “Main Street depositors are keeping confidence,” FDIC chairman Sheila Bair said when I talked to her last week. “It’s other banks that are the problem.” [...]

The Fed gets ready to try another thing it’s never tried before

The next bold experiment (or desperate gambit, if you prefer) from the Fed appears to be a plan to start buying commercial paper directly from the companies that issue it. The reason is that the commercial paper market, a key source of short-term funding for big companies, is shrinking rapidly. The Fed mentioned as sort [...]

Why did markets do that thing they did today?

The Dow ended the day down 370 points, after being down more than 800 in midafternoon. How can this be explained? 1. Pure random chance. As Nassim Taleb writes in Fooled by Randomness: To be competent, a journalist should view matters like a historian, and play down the value of the information he is providing, [...]

Paul Volcker: The market has flopped and we’re all running back to mother

Former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker, former Fed Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson and former Bank of Israel Governor (and AIG vice chairman!) Jacob Frenkel had a little press conference this morning to discuss the structure of financial regulation or–more precisely, a report called The Structure of Financial Regulation (pdf; and it’s just the press release, not [...]

Dow (below) 10,000: Stock investors continue to discover that there’s a financial crisis

For the last few weeks the U.S. stock market has been a haven of relative calm in global financial markets. Seriously. I know it doesn’t look calm, what with drops (and occasional increases) of 5+% becoming the order of the day. But instead of freezing up like credit markets, the stock market been functioning smoothly [...]

More bailout questions, more sort-of answers

My attempt to answer a reader’s long list of questions about the bailout has been condensed into an article in the new TIME (with the soup line on the cover). Barbara also has a piece in the magazine about current consumer credit conditions, which is also condensed from something that ran first online. Meanwhile, the [...]

Bailout bill passes, financial crisis continues, Part II

On the topic of the how, even with the bailout bill (sorry, the rescue package), all of our problems won’t be solved overnight, I offer a story I wrote for Time.com today. It starts: To understand how the credit crunch is hitting American business — and, in turn, you — look no further than The [...]

Bailout bill passes, financial crisis continues

So this time it passed, and it wasn’t even all that close (263-171). After turning down a $700 billion financial bailout plan on Monday, the House turned around and this afternoon approved an even more expensive one–loaded with tax cuts, an expansion of federal deposit insurance, and a now infamous tax exemption for certain toy [...]

A whole new sort of moral hazard?

So now federal regulators are in a bit of a bind. If they let Wells Fargo ride in and snatch Wachovia out from under Citigroup, they get a better deal for taxpayers—an industry-on-industry solution with no government backstop. But that might send a dangerous signal to the market. Setting aside the issue of whether or [...]