Does long service on Capitol Hill kill your presidential chances?

I know, I know, I’m not a political blogger and I’m not supposed to be doing anything but working on my book this week. But I was thinking in the shower this morning (no kiddin’) about whether long service on Capitol Hill, in particular in the Senate, is the kiss of death for a presidential [...]

Is it tacky real estate marketing or a harbinger of armed conflict to come?

See, I said there’d be pictures! “Pre-war,” in New York real estate parlance, means anything built before the 1940s. This sign, in case you can’t tell, adorns a hole in the ground. I assume that what the developers are trying to say is that the building they’re putting up will look like the surrounding apartment [...]

The myth of the frequently posting blogger

I know, I know, I promised to make no more mention of The Myth of the Rational Market until I had finished the manuscript. But my failure to finish things up over the past few weeks has motivated me to take the rest of this week off to work on it. So apart from maybe [...]

Capital One offers five horrendous ideas for spending borrowed money

This was part of a mailing full of blank checks that I got from credit card purveyor Capital One on Saturday. By my reckoning, only one of these proposed uses of credit (“Build a deck”) is a genuine capital expenditure. Four more (“Have your house repainted,” “Buy a new TV,” “Join a gym,” and maybe [...]

Craig Newmark has a bright future in advertising, and Spotme is still cool

Craig Newmark is a big fan of Dove’s Campaign for Real Beauty, which aims to fight the insanity of the beauty-industrial complex while selling lots of cleansing products. Such a big fan that he says he’s offered some advice to the people at Unilever/Dove and its ad agency, Ogilvy and Mather: Take an ad in [...]

New column: Do presidents matter to the economy?

I have a column in the new Time with Hillary C. and Barry O. on the cover and online here. It begins: For decades, scholars have been churning out studies on the impact the economy has on presidential elections. The not-very-surprising message of most of them: economic trouble is bad news for the party that [...]

Americans aren’t the only people who’ve been running up debt

The WSJ has a story today about how the global credit crunch is pounding the UK economy. One passage caught my eye: According to the most recent data from Paris-based Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, total consumer debt in the U.K. stood at 164% of annual disposable income at the end of 2006, by [...]

Gilles Saint-Paul on why U.S. economic policymakers have gotten so hysterical

And now, as promised, my e-mail from Gilles Saint-Paul of the Université des Sciences Sociales de Toulouse in response to my question about why economists outside the U.S. seem to think we need a recession while economists within argue that we need to do whatever we can to fight it. The U.S. economy does not [...]

Moody’s is a little confused about how easy/hard it is to manage risk

From an e-mail I got a few minutes ago from the Moody’s Training Services Group: UPCOMING MOODY’S TRAINING SEMINARS Learn how to stay on top of risk from one of the world’s most qualified sources RISK Understand, Measure, Manage …. From “Archaeology of the Crisis,” the angst-ridden January 2008 report by Moody’s chief international economist [...]

Immigration is not as big an issue for voters as some people thought

I’ve been busy writing my column, and I figure this blog really isn’t the place anybody turns to for election analysis. But one thing struck me about last night’s Republican results that is of some economic interest: Immigration wasn’t anywhere close to being a decisive issue. If it were, Romney would have done a lot [...]